545 : Clérmont, Kicking & Ciarán

🏉 Clérmont review

🏉 European roundup

🏉 Kicking off?

🏉 Frawley on fire

🏉 Simply does it


Our guests :

TOM COLEMAN

544 : Cardiff, Coaches & Contenders


🏉 LEIvCAR review

🏉 URC Round 3 wrap

🏉 Big boots to (Dr) Phil?

🏉 CC contenders

🏉 Format fatigue


GUESTS

HUGO GORDON

543 : Sharks, Starlets & Succession


🏉 Sharks v Leinster wrap

🏉 Academy & the future

🏉 Weekend roundup

🏉 Munster’s challenges

🏉 Naming rights…and wrongs


OUR GUESTS

RICHARD MIFSUD

HUGO GORDON

Sharks v Leinster preview

BKT United Rugby Championship
26/27 Round 2
Hollywoodbets Kings Park, Durban
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Kickoff 5:35pm (Irish Time)
TV : SuperSport, Premier Sports, Flo Rugby & URC.tv

UNITED RUGBY CHAMPIONSHIP

Round 1

Scarlets 15-21 Cardiff Rugby

Munster 20-26 Glasgow Warriors

Zebre 13-47 Bulls

Sharks 41-24 Ospreys

Lions 27-26 Leinster

Benetton 19-19 Dragons

Connacht 15-29 Stormers

Ulster 29-34 Edinburgh

Image

Round 2

Thu 2 Oct

Benetton v Connacht

Cardiff Rugby v Zebre

Edinburgh v Stormers

Fri 3 Oct

Lions v Ospreys

Dragons v Scarlets

Sharks v Leinster

Glasgow Warriors v Ulster

Munster v Bulls

OFFICIAL URC STATS & FACTS

The big picture

Defending champions Leinster travel to Durban after a narrow Round 1 defeat to 10bet Lions. Hollywoodbets Sharks began

with a home victory over Ospreys.

Match angles

• The home team on the day has won each of Sharks’ last ten URC fixtures.

• Sharks have lost just one of their last nine URC matches at Hollywoodbets Kings Park: 22-23 to Lions in January.

• Sharks have won their opening two games in only one previous URC season, in 2022.

• Leinster’s only victory in their last five URC away matches was 29-21 over Ulster in Round 15 last season.

• Leinster have won just once on their last nine trips to South Africa: 10-7 against Sharks in March 2025.

Form snapshot

Hollywoodbets Sharks last 6 URC: W-L-L-W-W-W

Leinster Rugby last 6 URC: W-W-W-W-W-L

Recent URC meetings

Leinster Rugby have won the last five meetings.

11 Oct 2025: Leinster Rugby 31 Hollywoodbets Sharks 5

29 Mar 2025: Hollywoodbets Sharks 7 Leinster Rugby 10

28 Oct 2023: Leinster Rugby 34 Hollywoodbets Sharks 13

Overall URC H2H

Hollywoodbets Sharks 1 win, Leinster Rugby 5 wins, 0 draws.

Key players in the URC this season

Hollywoodbets Sharks: Luan Giliomee scored two tries against Ospreys, while Vusi Moyo contributed 14 points.

Leinster Rugby: Fintan Gunne scored three tries against Lions, with Caspar Gabriel adding four points.

PREDICTION TIME

I can’t give a prediction without first addressing Leinster’s team announcement on Friday.

First of all, there was the confusion surrounding the announcement itself. For many, many years now, the page on the official website would present the matchday squad in a straight list format, starting with 15-9, then 1-8, and finally 16-23 all with both first and last names displayed.

This week, they did it differently…

…which instantly led to confusion surrounding number 20. That position is generally for a forward so it would make sense for it to be Diarmuid Mangan, but according to the travelling squad originally announced back on Sep 18, he wasn’t there so journos had to go chasing down confirmation of the name only to eventually learn…

So it turns out it was the other brother Ciarán, a back, after all.

When I first heard the team announcements were being made earlier this season, I was skeptical because I already wasn’t happy about last minute changes to the squad and this would only make them more likely. But now, I’m almost resorting to prayer in the hope that Leinster manage to pull a fit backrower from the bag. And it does raise question marks over Alex Soroka’s standing at the club given he was apparently playing AIL last weekend instead of being with the lads down south.

All of which means my predictions are conditional – if this matchday 23 stays the way it is, I can’t see us winning, especially with the Sharks stacking their squad with Springboks fresh off that chaotic defeat in Perth just a week earlier – my prediction would be a double-digit home win, 10-12pts. If instead we resolve the back row issue by Saturday evening, I honestly think we can win, if narrowly, so in that case I’d say 1-3.

Either way I really do think there’s a much bigger story under the surface, whether or not it will come out remains to be seen…

THIS IS PART OF OUR WEEKLY 80+ COLUMN ON SUBSTACK

541 : The Leinster Listen

🏉 The Leinster Listen podcast (Spotify link)

🏉 WXV : IRE 36-40 USA

🏉 “Roots & All” 2.0 (link to sample of our old Harpin’ feature)

🏉 Leinster’s prospects

🏉 Tullowgate (link mentioned on pod here)

Our guest : 

MICK LINNANE

540 : Season 8 premiere

🏉 A sort of homecoming

🏉 Earning their stripes

🏉 Great expectations

🏉 The other provinces

🏉 Greater rivalries

Our guests : 

538 : New Zealand v Ireland preview


IRELAND : 15 Hugo Keenan 14 Robert Baloucoune 13 Garry Ringrose 12 Stuart McCloskey 11 Jimmy O’Brien 10 Sam Prendergast 9 Jamison Gibson‑Park

1 Tom O’Toole 2 Dan Sheehan 3 Tadhg Furlong 4 Joe McCarthy 5 James Ryan 6 Tadhg Beirne 7 Josh van der Flier 8 Jack Conan

16 Rónan Kelleher 17 Jeremy Loughman 18 Thomas Clarkson 19 Nick Timoney 20 Sean Jansen 21 Craig Casey 22 Ciarán Frawley 23 Bundee Aki


NEW ZEALAND : 15 Damian McKenzie 14 Will Jordan 13 Quinn Tupaea 12 Jordie Barrett 11 Joshua Moorby 10 Ruben Love 9 Cam Roigard

1 Ethan de Groot 2 Codie Taylor 3 Tyrel Lomax 4 Josh Lord 5 Patrick Tuipulotu 6 Tupou Vaa’i 7 Luke Jacobson 8 Ardie Savea

16 Asafa Aumua 17 Xavier Numia 18 Fletcher Newell 19 Anton Segners 20 Peter Lakai 21 Cortez Ratima 22 Anton Lienert‑Brown 23 Caleb Clarke


Nations Championship

2026 Round 3

Saturday, July 18

Eden Park, Auckland

KO 8:10am (Irish time)

Live on : Virgin Media One

Referee: Nic Berry (RA)

AR1: Luc Ramos (FFR)

AR2: Damon Murphy (RA)

TMO: Ben Whitehouse (WRU)

FPRO: Andrew Jackson (RFU)

536 : Japan v Ireland preview

ALSO AVAILABLE AS A PODCAST

IRELAND : 15 Jamie Osborne 14 Jimmy O’Brien 13 Robbie Henshaw 12 Stuart McCloskey 11 Jacob Stockdale 10 Ciarán Frawley 9 Craig Casey

1 Tom O’Toole 2 Rónan Kelleher 3 Thomas Clarkson 4 Tadhg Beirne (c) 5 James Ryan 6 Jack Conan 7 Nick Timoney 8 Sean Jansen

16 Tom Stewart 17 Billy Bohan 18 Sam Illo 19 Cormac Izuchukwu 20 Bryn Ward 21 Nathan Doak 22 Harry Byrne 23 Bundee Aki


JAPAN : 15 Takuro Matsunaga 14 Kazuma Ueda 13 Dylan Riley 12 Yuya Hirose 11 Taira Main 10 Ryunosuke Ito 9 Naoto Saito

1 Takato Okabe 2 Mamoru Harada 3 Shuhei Takeuchi 4 Harry Hockings 5 Warner Dearns (c) 6 Ben Gunter 7 Kanji Shimokawa 8 Jack Cornelsen

16 Hayate Era 17 Sojiro Otsuka 18 Keijiro Tamefusa 19 Michael Stolberg 20 Michael Leitch 21 Tiennan Costley 22 Itsuki Kamimura 23 Sam Greene


Nations Championship

2026 Round 2

Saturday, July 11

McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

KO 11:10am (Irish time)

Live on : Virgin Media One

Referee: Andrea Piardi (FIR)

AR1: Ben O’Keeffe (NZR)

AR2: Morné Ferreira (SARU)

TMO: Matteo Liperini (FIR)

FPRO: Ian Tempest (RFU)

534 : Australia v Ireland preview



IRELAND : 15 Hugo Keenan 14 Robert Baloucoune 13 Garry Ringrose 12 Stuart McCloskey 11 Jamie Osborne 10 Sam Prendergast 9 Jamison Gibson‑Park

1 Tom O’Toole 2 Dan Sheehan (c) 3 Tadhg Furlong 4 Joe McCarthy 5 James Ryan 6 Cian Prendergast 7 Josh van der Flier 8 Jack Conan

16 Rónan Kelleher 17 Jeremy Loughman 18 Thomas Clarkson 19 Tadhg Beirne 20 Nick Timoney 21 Craig Casey 22 Ciarán Frawley 23 Bundee Aki


AUSTRALIA : 15 Jock Campbell 14 Max Jorgensen 13 Joseph Suaalii 12 Len Ikitau 11 Dylan Pietsch 10 Carter Gordon 9 Ryan Lonergan

1 Angus Bell 2 Josh Nasser 3 Allan Alaalatoa 4 Jeremy Williams 5 Miles Canham 6 Rob Valetini 7 Fraser McReight 8 Harry Wilson (c)

16 Brandon Paenga-Amosa 17 James Slipper 18 Taniela Tupou 19 Lachlan Shaw 20 Tom Hooper 21 Tate McDermott 22 Ben Donaldson 23 Tom Wright


Nations Championship

2026 Round 1

Saturday, July 4

Allianz Stadium, Sydney

KO 11:10am (Irish time)

Live on : Virgin Media One

Referee: Ben O’Keeffe (NZR) 

AR1: Karl Dickson (RFU)

AR2: Andrea Piardi (FIR)

TMO: Matteo Liperini (FIR)

FPRO: Glenn Newman (NZR)

80+ column : July 1

ON THIS WEEK’S COLUMN…

  • WRAPPING UP THE WRAPS
  • FINALLY GETTING THE POINT
  • NATIONS NEW NORMAL
  • WALLABIES POV
  • LOSING START
  • PHILIP ‘GOOSE’ DOYLE RIP
  • CHAMPIONS CUP DRAW
  • IRELAND SQUAD UPDATE
  • TROLL PATROL
  • COMPETITION UPDATES (incl 🔝🐱🐴)
  • NEXT HARPIN’

WRAPPING UP THE WRAPS

Hi there welcome to the latest 80+ column. No Leinster/Ireland men’s game last weekend so there’s no wrap to wrap but I do have something of an announcement FWIW.

You can probably tell I love doing this rugby content-producing lark, especially because I get to do it at my own pace instead of falling over myself to satisfy algorithms and what-not. So while I will continue to do things that way going forward, my “real-life” circumstances have changed to an extent where I’ll have to cut down my output considerably.

Over the pas year or so it has become increasingly more difficult to stick to the schedule I am used to, so from next season our regular content is likely to be limited to this 80+ column, which will probably now go out on Thursdays, and one podcast, which instead of focusing on just the one match from the weekend, will likely post on Tuesday morning taking a more general look at what went on. The Preview Show as we know it will probably have to go unfortunately.

Obviously with social media and stuff I will continue to get my thoughts out there regularly, but I think this level output will suit me better for next season. I’ll keep things the way they are for the next few weeks and fine tune the new way of doing things during the off season.

Anyway, on with this week’s column, starting with of course the Front Five…



FINALLY GETTING THE POINT

The purpose of this change is to reward teams who continue to play attacking rugby AND who remain resolute in defence once victory appears certain

EPCR confirms Investec Champions Cup Tier 1 clubs, EPCR Challenge Cup invitees and competition rule changes

EPCRugby.com

Anyone who has regularly read these pages will know I’m delighted with this news from the EPCR. I have been harping for years on the need to revert from what I call a “quantitative” try bonus point (awarded simply for scoring 4 tries) to a “differential” one (awarded for scoring 3 more tries than your opposition) and now we’re going to see it in the Champions & Challenge Cups.

Basically what it means is that you can’t wrap up the bonus point before half time and take your foot off the pedal. That way even if your opposition mounts a comeback in the second half and you still win, you are guaranteed the full five points. Now in that scenario there is jeopardy in that the BP can actually be taken off you so you’ll have to play the full 80 minutes.

It also mostly eliminates what I always considered to be the nonsense of a losing team coming away with two bonus points. One is enough for a defeat, thank you very much.

Sure, there are quirky exceptions which is why I used the word “mostly” above. Say a team wins 18-17 thanks to 6 penalties against 3 tries, 1 converted. Yes, that gets a bit clunky, but it is very much an exception, and the system has worked well in the 🔝🐱🐴 for years now and they have also been using it in Super Rugby. I would have it employed throughout the game and I hope the URC and World Cups join the cause sooner rather than later, but this is definitely a good start.

And that’s not the only change. They have also tweaked the way in which the 16 clubs qualify for the knockout rounds. Now instead of the top 4 in each pool making it, we have 3, with the remaining 12 clubs ranked against each other and the four best records making it.

Personally I like the thinking behind this, but maybe they have fallen between two stools with this? I know I usually say rugby doesn’t always need to do what soccer does, but in this case I’d say just go whole hog and adopt the “Swiss model” that has been used in the Champions League in recent seasons? If everyone must have just the four matches, then have one big table and let the 16 best records into the knockouts. This would reduce the possibility that still exists hereby a team wins all four of their matches yet still falls outside the top 4 seeds behind teams which didn’t.

I also like wins as the first tie-breaker and I also think this should be adopted everywhere, however especially for domestic competitions with a large amount of matches I believe it’s important to add a stipulation that draws be the second tie-breaker, otherwise a team which has lost more matches can get a higher ranking which seems to go against what the change is trying to do. Shouldn’t be an issue in the four-match EPCR schedule, though.

Still, I do like the direction in which the changes are going and we’ll see how they play out. For now I just like being reminded in articles like this that Leinster are still the reigning URC Champions….


CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL COLUMN ON SUBSTACK